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Anon @ 3:29

The article says that they have used the ABI's own estimates:

The last time I looked, guesses, estimate, predictions and so on were not special classes of data or evidence.

What is needed is the release of the core data, we would then have this analysed with different models and then perhaps a Cochrane style review of the studies.

What I would want to see is:

1. The number of cases where D pleads fruad,
2. The number of cases where fraud is proven or the claimant drops the case int he light of the defence
3: the un-recovered costs in 3
4. the Number / % of cases where D alleges fraud and the claim is then settled above the SCT limit.

Once we have this data then we can look at the methodologies and criteria used to classify cases.